Kamala Harris’ Chances of Beating Donald Trump in Georgia: Polls

Vice President Kamala Harris has overtaken Donald Trump in Georgia, a new poll shows.

The FiveThirtyEight poll shows Harris 0.2 points ahead of the former president, with 46.3 percent of the vote to Trump’s 46.1 percent.

It’s the second time Harris has beaten Trump in the Peach State since President Joe Biden dropped out of the race on July 21 and became the Democratic nominee. On Aug. 15, she edged Trump for a day, also by 0.2 points — mirroring Biden’s 2020 victory in the state, which she flipped from red to blue after winning by 0, 2 points. The state has voted Republican in the last six presidential elections.

Harris’ latest position in the polls comes on the back of an Aug. 23-26 Fox News poll that put her 2 points ahead of Trump in Georgia among registered voters, 50 percent to 48 percent.

The poll showed that 80 percent of black voters in Georgia approved of Harris, while 61 percent of white voters approved of Trump. However, the Republican’s support among black voters nearly tripled, rising from 7 percent to 19 percent, the poll found. Georgia has one of the largest black populations in the United States, 2020 census data show.

The Fox News poll also found that Trump had support from 77 percent of white evangelical Christians in the state, 71 percent of white rural voters, 74 percent of white men without a degree and 66 percent of white women without a degree, while Harris had support from 74% of non-white voters and 54% of voters with a college degree.

The poll polled 1,014 registered voters in Georgia and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Newsweek has reached out to Fox News and the Trump and Harris campaigns for comment by email.

Despite Harris’ lead in the state in recent polls, several pollsters still have Trump ahead in Georgia.

For example, the RealClearPolitics poll has Trump 0.7 points ahead of Harris, while Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin model has Trump 0.6 points ahead of Harris. However, his model also shows Democrats gaining 0.9 points in Georgia polls over the past week and 3.3 points over the past month.

Polls have consistently shown Trump’s lead shrinking in Georgia and other swing states since Harris entered the race, with July 22-24 polls in Georgia suggesting the former president was up by as much as 5 points in the state. In a poll released by Insider Advantage on July 16, Trump held a 10-point lead among likely voters in a matchup with Harris.

Harris has taken the lead in most of the swing states where the Trump campaign is focusing its efforts, meaning Trump is now behind in all but one of seven key battleground states.

On Wednesday, the Trump campaign dismissed the Fox News poll in a press release, calling it an “atrocious poll.”

“A look at polls from the same time period in 2020 shows Fox off in North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada by either 5.3% to 9.7%,” it said, adding: “The only Fox poll in Georgia since 2020 was launched in June. and he exaggerated the support of Joe Biden by 1.7%”.